Robin Angus, executive director of Personal Assets Trust, describes how the board of the trust divides its work with its investment adviser, and dispenses with some other popular misconceptions. (Note: This article was first published in December 2018 and has not been updated).
Strange beliefs
People sometimes believe the oddest things. Iâm not referring here to âfake newsâ and all the weird and wonderful tales circulated on social media about everyone from the Pope and Donald Trump to the casts of Love Island or Celebrity Big Brother, but to the straightforward misconceptions that take hold about everyday matters. Hereâs one example. Recently a shareholder wrote to share with me his fears that an outside predator might launch a bid for PERSONAL ASSETS (ticker: PNL).
I was able to reply that, while bids have taken place in the investment trust sector and will probably continue to do so as long as trusts exist, the idea that this might happen to Personal Assets worried me not in the slightest. Why would anyone want to bid for us? The usual justification for taking over an investment trust is to acquire cheap assets.
This would indeed be worrying for the board if Personal Assetsâ shares sold at a material discount, but they havenât done so since Discount Freedom Day in November 1999* and will never do so again. While buying ÂŁ1 of assets for 90p makes good sense, buying the very same assets at 102p plus costs would make no sense at all.
Itâs true that sometimes an investment trust will be bid for not so much to acquire cheap assets as to put an indifferently managed pool of assets to better use. This, however, would again typically be mirrored in the existence of a discount and the mutterings of shareholder discontent, neither of which apply to Personal Assets today. Iâm not one for making rash statements, but taking all these things together I feel I can say with confidence that Personal Assets is about as bid- proof as an investment trust can be.
“It’s all about performance”
A common misconception concerns what an investment trust should aim to be doing for its shareholders. A very eminent trust chairman once remarked to me, as if it were blindingly obvious: âItâs all about performance.â Up to a point he was right, but thereâs a lot more to performance than how much you can get the net asset value per share to rise, which was what the trust chairman had been talking about.
The success or failure of an investment trust is no more limited to its NAV performance than the choice of a car has to do only with the speed at which it can be driven. While a Bugatti Chiron or a Lamborghini Aventador may go faster than other cars, they wouldnât be the obvious choice for the school run or pottering about town, to say nothing of their petrol consumption or the cost of insuring them.
Similarly, there are lots of things other than straightforward NAV performance that potential buyers of shares in an investment trust may want to consider:
How much risk is being taken to achieve the NAV performance?
- Is possible extra performance a fair exchange for any extra risk?
- How volatile have the returns historically been?
- Does the share price properly reflect the NAV, or is there a persistent discount (or premium)?
- How great is the yield and how safe is the dividend?
- How hard is the portfolio being ridden to earn this dividend?
- How efficiently is the company run in terms of its ongoing charges ratio (OCR)?
- Does the way the company is managed meet the buyerâs requirements on environmental, social and governance (ESG) matters, or on equality and diversity?
There are many other criteria I could mention here, but these should be sufficient to demonstrate that, while NAV performance pure and simple is a large part of the story, itâs by no means all of it.
“It’s all about stockpicking”
The fallacies and misconceptions about investment and, more particularly, about investment management are legion, but a common fallacy Iâd like to dispose of here is that successful investment is all about picking the right stocks and then hanging on to them. âDonât put all your eggs in one basket,â is a common piece of investment advice, as is âOK, put all your eggs in one basket, but watch the basket.â
But neither suggestion tells the whole story. One of my favourite books about investment is The Money Game, by âAdam Smithâ (the pseudonym of the talented and perceptive US economic commentator and journalist George J. W. Goodman). Its âChapter Nine, Mr Smith Admits His Biasesâ, is the culmination of the first (and arguably most important) section of the book.
In it, Smith writes:Â âOne of my biases is so strong that I have to mention it immediately, because it runs counter to an idea that is very common, i.e., that if you buy good stocks and put them away, in the long run you canât go wrong. Well, as Keynes once remarked, âIn the long run we are all dead.ââ
Smith then introduces us to a certain Mr Bancroft, whose belief was that the best strategy for a conservative, long-term investor (like we all are, since very few of us will admit to being a short-term spiv) is âlocking up [stocks] and putting [them] awayâ. And Mr Bancroft chose his stocks carefully. â[But where] Mr Bancroft erred was in the locking up and putting away, for by the time his descendants managed to get their fingers on the portfolio, Mr Bancroftâs Southern Zinc, Gold Belt Mining, Carrell Company of New Hampshire and American Alarm Clock Company were all worth 0, and in fact, so was the estate.â**
Itâs easy to laugh at poor Mr Bancroft. But âbuy and holdâ is in fashion just now, and can be dangerous. I often think that if, back in 2000, I had taken a sabbatical and gone on my travels far from the markets (and if, of course, I had never heard of investment trusts), I might have put all my money into two ultimate blue chips of the time, which simply couldnât go wrong: GEC and Royal Bank of Scotland.
Reader, I held both of them â and lost at least some of my money. And just as business cases can change, cheapness isnât everything either. Stocks can be, and often are, cheap for good reasons. To quote a recent comment by Sebastian Lyon, our investment adviser:Â âThere are many companies that we would not buy at any price. Avoiding the dross is more than half the battle when it comes to investment survival. While there may be plenty of superficially tempting opportunities in the stock market, we prefer to remain discerning. Choosing companies with attractive returns on capital, financial strength and earnings growth (usually in that order) is a more effective way to deliver steady returns than bottom- fishing across the stock marketâs detritus. These lessons have been learned from painful experience.â
What the board does not do
One thing that is almost universally true of investment trust boards (the board of Personal Assets here being no exception) is that they are not involved in stock selection. Itâs not their job, any more than it is the job of the board of a football club to pick the squad for each match or of a bishop to pick the hymns for every Sunday service in every church in his diocese.
Indeed, I dread to think what a portfolio chosen by a board of half a dozen highly opinionated individuals might look like. A meeting to review it would all too easily become a cross between the voting at the Eurovision Song Contest and picking teams in a school playground. Ian Rushbrook [the former investment director of Personal Assets] used to refer to the famously argumentative board of the Independent Investment Company, which was founded in 1924 with three idiosyncratic investment titans as directors â John Maynard Keynes, Thomas Johnstone Carlyle Gifford (the founder of Baillie, Gifford & Co) and Oswald âFoxyâ Falk of the stockbrokers Buckmaster & Moore. They rarely agreed on anything. It was not a formula for success.***
What the board does do
With all investment trusts, there is a distinction to be drawn between running the company (the responsibility of the board) and running the portfolio (the responsibility of the investment manager or investment adviser). The board naturally has a watching brief to ensure that stock selection remains consistent with the trustâs investment approach as articulated over the years. But the danger of stock selection per se by the directors would be that the board might function like an international football team, full of prima donnas unable to work productively together.
A less obvious area where the board of an investment trust comes into its own is where the trust runs into a sticky patch such as Personal Assets suffered in 2014, when we suffered in investment terms a âperfect stormâ as our NAV actually fell when our comparator rose. In such circumstances the boardâs job is first and foremost to support and encourage the investment adviser.
Green, amber and red
Now letâs look at the details of how responsibilities are allocated. Under the terms of the contract with our investment adviser there are four areas which have been reserved specifically to the board but as regards which the board is required to engage in active dialogue with the investment adviser:
- the level and form of liquidity within the portfolio
- asset allocation in the portfolio
- matters relating to shareholder communication
- hedging.
In addition to these, three matters are described as having been reserved to the board alone:
- the companyâs gearing levels
- matters relating to the buying back and issuance of the companyâs shares
- investment in new asset classes.
In practice, however, the board and the investment adviser consult on these matters too, and as regards the first and third of them it would be strange if they did not. (For instance, neither the board nor the investment adviser could decide unilaterally to invest in the Turkish Lira or Argentinian equities!)
The company has no predetermined maximum or minimum levels of exposure to asset classes, currencies or geographic areas, but these exposures are reported to, and monitored by, the board in order to ensure that adequate diversification is achieved.
The resulting matrix is the distillation of years of experience. We set maximum and minimum percentages for each asset class and currency, and operate a
âtraffic lightâ system for investment classes:
- green for core investments such as large-cap stocks in the UK, US and Europe
- amber for areas in which we are unlikely to invest and where doing so would require the investment adviser to seek board approval, such as Japan and corporate bonds
- red for investments not currently permitted, such as direct property and private equity.
All these parameters are reviewed at each board meeting.
Not every board will have the same division of responsibilities, but what is important is that the division is clear and preferably written down, so that nobody is in any doubt where the buck stops in each case.
ROBIN ANGUS, a former highly rated investment trust analyst, has been a director of Personal Assets Trust since 1984.
* The date when investment trusts were allowed to repurchase their own shares and reissue them from Treasury, two essential ingredients in a discount control mechanism.
** The Money Game, âAdam Smithâ, Random House New York, 1968.
*** For a description of this fascinating company (which was no relation to todayâs much more successful Independent Investment Trust, chaired by Douglas McDougall and managed by Max Ward), see Nigel Edward Morecroft, The Origins of Asset Management from 1700 to 1966: Towering Investors, Palgrave Studies in the History of Finance, 2017.