The price gains we have seen on many investment trusts in the past few weeks suggests that it was reasonable to highlight the potential for discount narrowing couple of months ago, even if I was a week or two premature in doing so. Falling bond yields and narrowing discounts is a potent backcloth for investment trust investors, and an encouraging one for the equity markets too. With inflation figures falling, it seems likely that we will have another end of year equity market rally, absent further bad news on the geopolitical front. Although some of the movements have been striking, there rem...
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The Federal Reserve, the Bank England and the European Central Bank have all held their interest rates this week and given out the same message that it is too early to be thinking about interest rate reductions. The equity and bond markets have decided that it is not, responding positively to a growing belief that the current rate-hiking cycle has peaked. Investment trusts are in demand again on this change in sentiment.
Relief rallies all round Having highlighted a potential turning point in my last set of comments, it seems that, having crawled over the wording of the latest central bank an...
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Some quick thoughts on developments last week. The US equity market is going into third quarter results season and the S&P 500 index has reached a critical point from a technical perspective.
Big picture macro It has been another tough week in the financial markets. The rise in the yield on the US 30-year bond to above 5%, its highest level since the summer of 2007, is an ominous development. While the yields on short-dated Treasuries are largely determined by the Federal Reserve's policy actions, the price of the so-called long bond is influenced more by the views of international marke...
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